📍 ETH/USD 30M Analysis (Sep 29, 2025)

by UgyenD (UD)  - September 29, 2025

🔎 Market Structure

  1. Consolidation Phase:
    • Between Sep 27–28, price ranged sideways (Asian, London, NY sessions overlapped with small sweeps).
    • Perfect liquidity buildup on both sides.
  2. Accumulation → Expansion:
    • Notice NY AM (Sep 28 ~21:00): price swept London low, created a bullish ChoCH.
    • Expansion followed → NY PM breakout and continuation.
  3. Strong Rally (Sep 29 AM):
    • Price broke above 4060, running all liquidity resting above prior highs.
    • Aggressive expansion → up to 4140s.
    • Now pulling back into Asian range (4120–4100).

Ads:

🎯 Entry Opportunities

  1. Buy Setup (Sep 28, ~21:00 – NY AM)
    • Entry: ~4000–4010 (OB retest after ChoCH)
    • SL: ~3980
    • TP1: 4060 (NY PM high)
    • TP2: 4140 (today’s high)
    • R:R ≈ 1:4 ✅
  2. Buy Setup (Sep 29, ~03:00 – NY PM)
    • Entry: ~4050 after EMA 9/21 bullish cross + breaker retest
    • SL: ~4025
    • TP: 4140
    • R:R ≈ 1:3 ✅
  3. Scalp Short (Current Price Action)
    • Price tapped Asian high (4140–4135) and rejected.
    • Possible short-term pullback.
    • Entry: 4125–4130
    • SL: 4145
    • TP1: 4100
    • TP2: 4085 (near EMA 21 + demand)

⚡ Bias

  • Main Bias: Still bullish unless 4080 breaks down.
  • Current Trade: Look for short pullback scalps → then reload longs near 4085–4100 targeting 4160–4180.

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✨ XAU/USD ICT – September 26, 2025 ✨
XAU/USD ICT – Sep 29, 2025

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