📊 XAU/USD ICT – October 2, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - October 2, 2025

🔎 Market Snapshot

  • Current Price: $3,865
  • Asian range formed a tight consolidation 📦.
  • London pushed up, then rejected from $3,890 liquidity pool 💧.
  • NY PM created a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) around $3,870–$3,860.

Ads:

📌 Smart Money Structure

  • Market is in short-term bearish order flow after London high.
  • Liquidity grab above Asian highs ✅.
  • Price retraced into FVG and is consolidating.

📰 Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • USD strength from recent data 📈.
  • Gold likely pressured unless risk-off headlines appear.

📑 Trade Plan (Decorated with Emojis)

📉 Sell Setup (preferred bias)

  • Entry: $3,868 – $3,872 (NY PM FVG / retracement) 🔻
  • Stop Loss (SL): $3,880 (+120 pips) ⛔️

🎯 Take Profits:

  • TP1: $3,855 (+130 pips) 🥇
  • TP2: $3,845 (+230 pips) 🥈
  • TP3: $3,830 (+420 pips) 🥉

📈 Buy Setup (counter-trend, only if liquidity run lower)

  • Entry: $3,852 – $3,855 (liquidity sweep below NY PM lows) 🟢
  • SL: $3,840 (–150 pips) ⛔️

🎯 Take Profits:

  • TP1: $3,870 (+150 pips) 🥇
  • TP2: $3,880 (+250 pips) 🥈
  • TP3: $3,895 (+400 pips) 🥉

📌 Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Currently favoring a sell setup from premium levels (retracement to $3,870). A liquidity grab is expected before NY continuation lower 🚀.
Counter-buy only if deep sweep into $3,852 happens 🔄.

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by ugyen dorji

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