ETH/USD ICT – August 9, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - August 9, 2025

Market Snapshot
Ethereum (ETH/USD) is currently trading at $4,152.33, showing strong momentum after breaking above the key $4,100 level. Price is consolidating just under today’s high of $4,176.85, with a bullish structure that has been in play since the Asian session’s higher low formation.

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Smart Money Structure
Price swept minor sell-side liquidity during the Asian session before initiating a steady grind higher.

London session respected prior Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) as support, leading to a gradual push through intraday highs.

The New York AM session delivered a strong bullish displacement, taking out buy-side liquidity above $4,100 and driving into the $4,176 area.

Market structure remains bullish above the $4,050–$4,060 zone.


Session Outlook

  • Asian Session: Slow accumulation with higher lows, holding above $4,000 key psychological support.
  • London Session: Controlled advance, breaking prior session highs and holding gains above the 21 EMA.
  • New York Session Outlook:
    • Sustaining above $4,150 keeps the door open for a run toward $4,200–$4,250 liquidity zones.
    • A failure to hold $4,150 may invite a retrace back into the $4,060–$4,050 FVG before another leg higher.

Market Drivers & News Outlook
Crypto sentiment remains risk-on as broader markets see softer USD conditions and steady U.S. Treasury yields.

ETH’s breakout comes amid continued strength in Bitcoin, fueling sector-wide bullish sentiment.

Today’s price action is consistent with a smart money accumulation–expansion model, suggesting further upside before any meaningful retracement.


Trade Plans

Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:

  • Buy above $4,150 with NY session momentum aiming for $4,200–$4,250.
  • Entry trigger: 5m bullish displacement + FVG entry.
  • SL: Below $4,140 | TP1: $4,190 | TP2: $4,250.

Scenario 2 – Rejection & Pullback:

  • If price rejects the $4,180–$4,200 zone, look for short entries back to $4,060 FVG.
  • SL: Above $4,205 | TP1: $4,100 | TP2: $4,060.

Final Bias – ICT Narrative
ETH remains in a bullish structure after engineering a liquidity sweep in the Asian session. As long as price holds above $4,150 intraday, the bias favors buy-side targeting into the $4,200–$4,250 liquidity pool.

Losing $4,150 would shift the short-term narrative to a retracement into the $4,060 FVG before considering fresh longs.

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by ugyen dorji

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XAU/USD ICT – August 11, 2025

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