ETH/USD ICT – Sep 30, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - September 30, 2025

📊 Market Snapshot

  • Pair: ETH/USD
  • Timeframe: 30M
  • Current Price: ≈ 4,202
  • Structure: Strong bullish continuation after London + NY PM breakout.

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🏗 Smart Money Structure

  • Liquidity grab under 4119 last session → sharp bullish expansion.
  • Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 4145–4160 served as launch pad.
  • Price is now consolidating around 4200–4215 (Asian range).
  • Higher-timeframe order flow = bullish.

⏰ Session Outlook

  • Asian: Sideways, 4210 cap.
  • London: Retracement → bullish continuation.
  • NY AM: Possible sweep of Asian lows (4190) → re-accumulation.

🌍 Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • Crypto follows BTC → still bullish momentum in majors.
  • USD soft → supports ETHUSD upside.
  • No major ETH-specific news risk today.

🎯 Trade Plans

🟢 Long Setup (Primary Bias – Buy the Dip)

  • Entry Zone: 4190–4200 (sweep Asian lows)
  • SL: 4175 🔻
  • TP1 🎯: 4225
  • TP2 🎯: 4250
  • TP3 🎯: 4280–4290
  • R:R ≈ 1:3

🔴 Short Setup (Scalp Only – Secondary Bias)

  • Entry Zone: 4225–4235 (Asian high rejection)
  • SL: 4245 🔺
  • TP1 🎯: 4200
  • TP2 🎯: 4185
  • TP3 🎯: 4165
  • R:R ≈ 1:2

📌 Final Bias – ICT Narrative

  • Market is in markup phase after reclaiming liquidity.
  • Best trade idea: long from 4190–4200 demand zone → target 4280.
  • Shorts are only scalp plays at Asian high rejection, but higher bias remains bullish.

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XAU/USD ICT – Sep 30, 2025
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