XAU/USD ICT – 22nd August 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - August 22, 2025

Market Snapshot

  • Current Price: $3,327.49
  • Previous Day High (PDH): $3,347.21
  • Previous Day Low (PDL): $3,325.22
  • Current Market Range: PDH–PDL consolidation box
  • Price currently trading just above PDL, with NY session structure showing a shift to the downside.

Ads:

Smart Money Structure

  • Price rejected PDH ($3,347.21) on 21st August during NY AM session, confirming resistance.
  • Subsequent market structure shift (MSS) occurred as price broke down below intraday swing lows.
  • Market is now respecting bearish order flow: lower highs, lower lows.
  • Current PDH remains the premium array where liquidity sits; PDL is now being tested.

Session Outlook

  • Asian Session (22nd Aug): Consolidation with mild bearish drift.
  • London Session: Continuation of bearish pressure, driving price closer to PDL.
  • New York AM (current): Retracement forming towards FVG / Fibonacci premium arrays between $3,336–$3,343, possible short entry zone.

Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • US Dollar Index (DXY) showing strength → supporting bearish Gold bias.
  • Global risk sentiment leaning risk-off → limiting bullish Gold recovery.
  • No major high-impact economic news today; focus is on technical liquidity grabs around PDH/PDL.

Trade Plans

  1. Primary Setup (Short Bias):
    • Entry: Retracement into 62–79% Fib zone ($3,339–$3,343).
    • Target 1: PDL retest $3,325.22.
    • Target 2: $3,314 (–0.5 Fib extension).
    • Target 3: $3,302 (–1 Fib extension).
    • Stop Loss: Above PDH $3,348.09.
  2. Alternative Setup (Bullish Liquidity Grab):
    • If PDL holds firm with strong rejection, possible bounce back towards $3,336–$3,340 intraday.
    • This remains counter-trend and short-term only.

Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Gold is showing bearish order flow, with price trading below PDH and near PDL.
Expect retracements into premium arrays (FVG/Fib zone $3,336–$3,343) to provide optimal short entries.
Targets lie below PDL, aiming for $3,314–$3,302.
Bias remains Bearish, unless PDL holds with strong rejection.

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