XAU/USD ICT – August 8, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - August 8, 2025

Market Snapshot

Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $3,394.92, showing modest strength after reclaiming the $3,393 level. Price is consolidating between $3,370 key support and $3,409 resistance (previous daily high), with a bullish structure emerging from Thursday’s low.

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Smart Money Structure

  • Price took out sell-side liquidity at $3,370 before initiating a strong bullish leg in the London session.
  • A Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed in the New York AM session, which acted as a springboard for a push toward $3,400.
  • The Asian range high was cleared during London session, with New York session retracing partially into the FVG before stabilizing.
  • Market structure remains bullish above $3,384.

Session Outlook

  • Asian Session: Range-bound between $3,385 and $3,394, setting the liquidity base.
  • London Session: Breakout above Asian highs, reaching $3,400 and triggering buy stops.
  • New York Session Outlook:
    • If price can sustain above $3,393, there is potential for a PDH run at $3,409.
    • Failure to hold this level may trigger a retracement back into $3,384–$3,380 FVG before another push.

Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • No major U.S. data today, but traders are positioning ahead of next week’s CPI.
  • The Dollar Index is holding steady, with Treasury yields slightly softer—supportive for gold.
  • Today’s moves are largely liquidity-engineered, suggesting smart money may target both sides before settling.

Trade Plans

Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:

  • Buy above $3,394 with NY session momentum aiming for $3,409–$3,412.
  • Entry trigger: 5m bullish displacement + FVG entry.
  • SL: Below $3,390 | TP1: $3,405 | TP2: $3,409.

Scenario 2 – Rejection & Pullback:

  • If price rejects $3,400–$3,405 zone, look for short entries back to $3,384 FVG.
  • SL: Above $3,406 | TP1: $3,390 | TP2: $3,384.

Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Gold is in a bullish structure after engineering a sell-side sweep at $3,370. The path of least resistance appears up, with smart money likely targeting buy-side liquidity above $3,409 PDH before a deeper retracement.

The $3,393–$3,394 zone is critical—holding above it keeps bullish momentum alive; losing it opens the door for a retrace into $3,384.

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by ugyen dorji

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