XAU/USD ICT – Oct 3, 2025

📌 Market Snapshot

• Current Price: $3,850
• Key Sessions: Asian consolidation → London rally → NY AM selloff → NY PM retracement
• Bias: Range-to-bearish short-term, unless 3,870 is reclaimed.

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📉 Smart Money Structure (ICT)

• Daily Bias: Neutral to Bearish.
• Liquidity Sweeps: London took liquidity above $3,890 then sold off.
• Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): NY PM left imbalance around 3,860 – 3,870.
• Order Blocks: Bearish OB near 3,895 holding as resistance.

🕒 Session Outlook

• Asian: Sideways, created equal lows.
• London: Strong push above 3,880 → then reversal.
• NY AM: Bearish dump into 3,850.
• NY PM: Small retracement, but still capped below 3,870 OB zone.

🌍 Market Drivers & News

• USD Index showing strength → Gold under pressure.
• Bond yields slightly higher → bearish for Gold.
• Market waiting for US Jobs Data (NFP week) → expect volatility.

🎯 Trade Plan

📌 Setup: Look for sell retracement into OB / FVG around 3,865 – 3,870.

• Entry Zone: 3,865 – 3,870 🟠
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,880 🔴 (~100 pips)

✅ Take Profits:

• 🥇 TP1 → 3,840 (250 pips)
• 🥈 TP2 → 3,820 (450 pips)
• 🥉 TP3 → 3,800 (650 pips)

📌 Final Bias – ICT Narrative

• Expect retracement sells below 3,870 OB zone.
• As long as 3,880 holds, market favors bearish continuation.
• Watch for liquidity grabs around Asian lows (3,845).