XAU/USD ICT – September 1, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - September 1, 2025

Market Snapshot

Gold (XAU/USD) opened the week strong, currently trading around $3,472, after an impulsive Asian session rally 🚀. Price has reclaimed last week’s highs with momentum, leaving behind fresh imbalances and liquidity pools.

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Smart Money Structure

  • Price has been bullish since the London session on August 29, creating a clear market structure shift (MSS) to the upside.
  • Fair Value Gap (FVG) 📦 was formed at $3,420–$3,430, which got respected as price rallied.
  • Order block 🟩 around $3,445–$3,450 acted as demand before the Asian rally.
  • Liquidity above $3,470–$3,475 got swept in today’s Asian session.

Session Outlook

  • Asian Session (Today): Strong impulsive buy side move ✅ cleared liquidity and pushed price into premium levels.
  • London Session: Likely retracement into discount zone (3,450–3,455) to rebalance before continuation.
  • New York Session: Setup for another buy side liquidity raid targeting $3,480–$3,490 zone.

Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • Dollar Index (DXY) remains soft, supporting bullish pressure on gold.
  • Traders awaiting US ISM Manufacturing PMI later today – volatility spike expected 📊.
  • Geopolitical tensions and weak bond yields add further bullish sentiment for safe-haven assets.

Trade Plans

🎯 Buy Setup (Favorable)

  • Wait for retracement into $3,450–$3,455 demand zone.
  • Confirm bullish rejection wick / order block.
  • Entry: $3,452 🟢
  • TP1: $3,470 (+18 pips) ✨
  • TP2: $3,485 (+33 pips) 🚀
  • SL: $3,442 ❌

🔥 Trade Decorated:
🟢 Long XAU/USD at 3,452 → Targeting 3,470 / 3,485 🚀✨ | Stop Loss at 3,442


🎯 Sell Setup (Alternative – Countertrend)

  • Only valid if New York runs liquidity at $3,480–$3,490.
  • Look for rejection + bearish MSS.
  • Entry: $3,485 🔴
  • TP1: $3,465 (-20 pips)
  • TP2: $3,450 (-35 pips)
  • SL: $3,495 ❌

🔥 Trade Decorated:
🔴 Short XAU/USD at 3,485 → Targeting 3,465 / 3,450 📉⚡ | Stop Loss at 3,495


Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Gold remains in a bullish market structure, with today’s Asian session confirming buy side strength. Expect London retracement into discount (3,450–3,455) before another leg higher in New York targeting $3,480–$3,490. Only fade the move if liquidity grab occurs at those highs.

📌 Bias: Bullish until $3,490, then watch for reversal signals.

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