XAU/USD ICT – September 16, 2025

Market Snapshot

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $3,682, after a strong New York AM rally that pushed price over $3,680 highs. The market built a base during London accumulation ($3,640–$3,650) before expansion. Price is now consolidating in the Asian range with liquidity resting both above $3,685 highs and below $3,670 lows.

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Smart Money Structure

Market structure flipped bullish after reclaiming $3,645 London lows ✅.
Clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits at $3,655–$3,660.
Liquidity pools above $3,685–$3,690 highs and below $3,670 Asian lows.
Order flow favors bullish continuation if $3,660 support holds.

Session Outlook

Asian Session: Price consolidating inside range $3,670–$3,685.
London Session: Possible retracement into FVG $3,655–$3,660 before expansion.
New York Session: Likely continuation toward $3,690–$3,700 key liquidity pool.

Market Drivers & News Outlook

USD Index softening after last week’s strength → Gold supported.
U.S. housing data & Fed commentary later today may inject volatility.
Risk sentiment slightly mixed, with traders hedging into gold on dips.

Trade Plans

🚀 Buy Setup (Pro-ICT):

Wait for price to retrace into $3,660 FVG / London accumulation zone.
Confirmation entry after bullish rejection on lower TF.
Target 1: $3,685 Asian highs 🎯
Target 2: $3,695–$3,700 liquidity pool 💎

📉 Sell Setup (Countertrend scalp):

If price runs $3,690–$3,695 highs first.
Enter short on rejection.
Target: $3,670 Asian low liquidity pocket 💰

Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Gold is in a bullish order flow, with $3,660–$3,665 FVG as the key zone for continuation. Expect a London retracement → New York expansion day model. Higher timeframe bias remains bullish toward $3,700–$3,710.

Bias: 🚀 Bullish, buy-the-dip near FVG.