XAU/USD ICT – September 17, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - September 17, 2025

Market Snapshot

Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at $3,682, after failing to sustain above the $3,700 psychological level. The New York PM session created a sell-off, leaving price consolidating around Asian liquidity levels $3,675–$3,685.
Bias remains tactical, with both upside and downside liquidity pools in play.

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Smart Money Structure

  • BMS (Break of Market Structure) at $3,695 → $3,680 drop, signaling short-term bearish intent 📉.
  • FVG (Fair Value Gap) left behind at $3,688–$3,692, ideal for a retracement entry.
  • Liquidity Pools:
    • Buy-side: above $3,700–$3,705 highs 🚀.
    • Sell-side: below $3,675–$3,670 lows 💰.

Session Outlook

  • Asian Session: Range consolidation $3,675–$3,685.
  • London Session: Likely retrace into FVG $3,688–$3,692.
  • New York Session: Potential sell continuation if FVG rejects, else liquidity run above $3,700.

Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • Dollar Index stabilizing after mild weakness.
  • Market awaiting US CPI revisions & Fed comments → high-impact event risk later.
  • Gold remains sensitive to yields; intraday swings likely.

Trade Plans

📉 Sell Setup (Pro-ICT):

  • Wait for retracement into $3,688–$3,692 FVG zone.
  • Confirmation entry on rejection.
  • Target 1: $3,675 Asian low 🎯
  • Target 2: $3,660 deeper liquidity pocket 💰

🚀 Buy Setup (Countertrend scalp):

  • If price sweeps $3,670 lows and reclaims above.
  • Entry on bullish rejection.
  • Target 1: $3,688–$3,692 FVG fill 🔄
  • Target 2: $3,700 liquidity sweep 💎

Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Gold is bearishly positioned intraday after rejection at $3,700, with FVG overhead at $3,688–$3,692 acting as the key decision zone.
Expect London retracement → New York continuation model, targeting $3,675–$3,660 liquidity.

Bias: 📉 Bearish, short rallies into FVG.

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