XAU/USD ICT – September 23, 2025

by UgyenD (UD)  - September 23, 2025

Market Snapshot

Gold is trading around $3,745 after an impressive multi-day rally from the $3,635 lows. 📈
The market has been printing higher highs & higher lows, riding the EMA cross bullish momentum. Current price is consolidating inside the Asian session high ($3,747). Liquidity sits above at $3,755–$3,760, which could be the next target.

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Session Outlook

  • Asian session: Consolidation inside a tight range $3,743–$3,747.
  • London session: Possible sweep of Asian lows before expansion.
  • New York session: Likely to target $3,755–$3,760 liquidity unless strong rejection occurs.

Market Drivers & News Outlook

  • USD Index remains under pressure 🏦, supporting Gold’s bullish trend.
  • Traders eye upcoming U.S. data releases later in the week (GDP & inflation), which may bring volatility.
  • With no major catalysts today, expect liquidity engineering in London and New York.

Trade Plans

  1. 🟢 Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation)
    • 🔍 Look for liquidity sweep into $3,735–$3,730 discount zone.
    • 📈 Go long if bullish displacement confirms.
    • 🎯 Targets: $3,755 → $3,760 highs.
    • 🚨 Invalidation: Close below $3,725.
  2. 🔻 Scenario 2 (Intraday Pullback)
    • ⚡ If London/NY runs $3,755–$3,760 liquidity and fails.
    • 🔽 Short opportunity back into $3,735–$3,730.
    • 🎯 First target: $3,730 liquidity sweep.

Final Bias – ICT Narrative

Gold remains in bullish order flow, with momentum favoring continuation toward $3,760.
Base case: London sweep of lows, then New York expansion higher 🚀.
Alternative: Liquidity run at $3,755–$3,760, then corrective pullback into $3,730 zone.

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